While Las Vegas sports books have finally finished counting the record windfall from Week 3, in which 10 of 13 underdogs covered the spread, Week 6 has rung the cash register once again. Losses by the Packers, Broncos, Falcons and Chiefs highlight why many refer to the N and L in NFL as “no logic.” Below are my five best opportunities for Week 7.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-4) vs. Green Bay Packers
I think you would need to do some serious research to find the last time the Packers were getting more than a field goal at Lambeau Field. With Aaron Rogers suffering a serious injury, the Packers will turn to Brett Hundley for his first career start. What was to be a match-up of two future Hall of Famers (Brees and Rogers) has now turned into a big problem for the home team. With the Saints’ potent offense and a suspect Packers defense, this game could get away from them early. The Saints are coming off a 52-point performance and half that number will be plenty this week.
Prediction: 38-17 Saints
Tennessee Titans vs CLEVELAND BROWNS (+6)
Stop laughing. Not only do the Browns cover the 6 point spread this week, they walk away with their first win of the season. With Marcus Mariota returning Monday night in an uninspiring victory over the Colts, the short week will do him no favors. The Browns have had some promising moments (unfortunately only about seven per game), and will play a nearly perfect game to eke out a field goal victory. Be careful survivor pool survivors.
Prediction: 23-20 Browns
CAROLINA PANTHERS (-3) over Chicago Bears
The Bears return home after a rare road win against the Baltimore Ravens. The Bears will be attempting to beat the spread for a third consecutive week. Yes, I looked it up and that is somehow true. The Panthers come in off a tough home loss to the Eagles, and with their solid offense and strong defense, they will cover the field goal spread. The Bears rookie QB Mitchell Trubisky has shown the ability to make the big play, but also has demonstrated his lack of NFL experience. The experience of Cam Newton will turn out to be the difference.
Prediction: 27-20 Panthers
DALLAS COWBOYS (-6) vs San Francisco 49ers
Dallas travels west after the bye week to take on a 49ers team that finally ends its streak of losing close games… by being soundly beaten by the Cowboys. Ezekiel Elliott is in, he’s out and he’s back in the end zone repeatedly on Sunday. The Cowboys have beaten the Niners four of the last five times they have played in San Francisco and this should be no different. The 49ers are the 49ers.
Prediction: 31-20 Cowboys
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-3) over Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta travels to New England after blowing a 17-0 halftime lead to the Miami Dolphins. The Patriots defense woke up after giving up two early touchdowns to the Jets last week. Atlanta has lost five in a row to New England and failed to cover the spread in all five meetings. New England finds itself in a division where all four teams are within a game of one another. While both teams will light up the scoreboard, the Falcons will not be able to keep up.
Prediction: 45-34 Patriots
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