I’m gonna be honest with you… Week 6 doesn’t offer the most exciting slate of games. Sure, Pittsburgh vs. Kansas City is a good one (more on that game in a minute), but call me crazy for not being too excited about five of the twelve Sunday match-ups involving a double-digit favorite. It’s not all bad news though, because when the games lack intrigue, it just makes placing a wager that much more important!
With this completely logical thought process in mind, here are my 5 best bets for Week 6 of the NFL season:
Miami Dolphins vs. Atlanta Falcons OVER 46.5 points
This is a game where I expect both offenses to get back on track. After finishing as the No. 1 offense in 2016, Matt Ryan and Co. have looked pretty average through their first four games. Fresh off a bye week that allowed All-Pro Julio Jones to get healthy, Atlanta should have no problem hanging 30+ points on a pedestrian Dolphins defense. For Miami, they have yet to score 20 points in a game, so their offense can only improve from here. Head coach Adam Gase likes to employ a run-first offense, but with Atlanta racing out to an early lead, Cutler will be forced to air it out. Whether he throws touchdowns or pick sixes remains to be seen, but either way, this one goes over 46.5 points.
Prediction: 34-20 Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. ARIZONA CARDINALS (even)
The Arizona Cardinals are an uninspiring 0-5 against the spread this year. They just got routed by the Eagles in Philly, and now return home to take on a Bucs team that gave the Patriots all they could handle. Tampa Bay gets a long week (10 days) to prepare, but I still like the Cardinals in this one. Tampa Bay having to travel across the coast for one game is never easy, and Arizona will treat this like a must-win game. Patrick Peterson shuts down Mike Evans, Jameis Winston throws at least two picks, and Adrian Peterson provides enough of a rushing attack for Arizona to eke out the victory.
Prediction: 21-20 Cardinals
Chicago Bears vs. BALTIMORE RAVENS (-7)
Baltimore isn’t an elite team, but they play the perfect brand of football to demolish a team led by a rookie quarterback. Mitch Trubisky could one day be a Pro Bowl quarterback, but he is nowhere near one at the moment. The Ravens force 3+ turnovers, control the game on the ground and move to 4-2 in easy fashion.
Prediction: 23-13 Ravens
PITTSBURGH STEELERS (+4.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
What does Ben Roethlisberger hinting that “he might not have it anymore,” Le’Veon Bell complaining for more touches and the Chiefs looking unstoppable add up to? The answer is a close game. Too often we fall victim to using a one week sample size to try and draw drastic conclusions. The Steelers looked awful against the Jaguars last week, but they possess an offense more than capable of keeping up with the Chiefs. The Chiefs remain the lone unbeaten team, but Pittsburgh gives them all they can handle.
Prediction: 27-23 Chiefs
New York Giants vs. Denver Broncos UNDER 39 points
It is legitimately difficult to figure out how the Giants score a touchdown in this one. New York can’t run the football, and Denver’s run defense is only allowing an absurd 2.4 yards per carry. Eli Manning will be without his top three receivers, and the Broncos employ a dominant pass rush with the best cornerback duo in the league. Add in the fact that the Giants’ defense is no slouch, and this one is an easy under.
Prediction: 20-6 Broncos
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