Tennessee Titans vs. MIAMI DOLPHINS (+3)
I can already feel you rolling your eyes at the thought of backing Jay Cutler for a game. Watching Miami play the last two weeks has been beyond dreadful, but I expect them to bounce back in Week 5. They’re getting a field goal at home against a Titans team who just allowed 57 points to the Houston Texans in a 60 minute football game, and Tennessee will either start an injured Marcus Mariota or pick-six King, Matt Cassel. The Dolphins will establish the ground game with Jay Ajayi and get a much-needed home victory.
Prediction: 21-20 Dolphins
ARIZONA CARDINALS (+7) vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Cardinals haven’t played well in a single game this year, but still find themselves 2-2. I think this will be the week Carson Palmer and Arizona find their groove. The Eagles have impressed thus far, racing out to a 3-1 record, but are banged up on the defensive side of the ball. Palmer won’t have to worry about No. 1 pass rusher Fletcher Cox or No. 1 corner Ronald Darby who are both out with injuries, and Larry Fitzgerald has owned Philly throughout his career (673 yards and 8 touchdowns in 7 games). Fitzgerald has a huge day and the Patrick Peterson-Tyrann Mathieu duo shuts down Carson Wentz and the explosive Eagles offense. The Cards go cross-country and pull the surprise upset.
Prediction: 24-20 Cardinals
Carolina Panthers vs. DETROIT LIONS (-1)
Surprisingly, this Week 5 match-up is the only one featuring two teams with records over .500. Both are coming off impressive road wins, and should enter this game with plenty of confidence. For the Panthers, they are coming off a victory in Foxboro in which the offense exploded against a hapless Patriots defense. They will face a much tougher test against a sneaky-good Lions unit. Detroit’s offense has yet to hit its stride and takes on a stingy Carolina squad, but I expect Stafford to eke out a victory in a low scoring game in front of the home crowd.
Prediction: 20-17 Lions
Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys OVER 52.5 points
A rematch of last year’s NFC divisional round instant-classic, the Packers and Cowboys square off this week for what should be another good one. Aaron Rodgers is doing typical Aaron Rodgers things, while their defense struggled against the only dynamic offense they have faced thus far (Atlanta). For Dallas, their defense has given up 35+ points in two of its first four games to the Broncos and Rams. I don’t see how either defense contains the opposing offense in this one.
Prediction: 31-28 Packers
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans UNDER 45.5 points
The Chiefs remain the lone unbeaten team, but have yet to face a defense of Houston’s caliber. The same can be said of the Texans, who are taking on a Chiefs defense that has stymied opponents en route to victories over the Patriots, Eagles, Chargers and Redskins. Although both teams have playmakers, this has the feel of a grind-it-out game with more field goals than touchdowns. Even if Justin Houston scoops up a meaningless fumble and returns it for a touchdown with no time remaining (with the Chiefs already winning) for the second straight week, this game will still stay under 45.5.
Prediction: 16-13 Texans
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